Saturday 25.September 2021- VIP GAMES

ENGLAND: Championship
16:00 Bournemouth - Luton
PICK:3+(over 2,5 goals)
ODD:1,95-2,05


STAKE: VIP INSIDER FROM UK GAMBLER(C)

RESULT:2:1 WIN

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GERMANY: 3. Liga
14:00 Kaiserslautern  -  Osnabruck
PICK: Kaiserslautern +0 (Asian Handicap)
ODD:2,00

RESULT:2:0 WIN


INFO:

I doubt that Osnabrück are the favourites on the road here, and especially when doing some comparisons with recent games, one realises that the odds do not make sense here. Osnabrück have been playing a great season so far, however their results have been better than their performances. Last week was quite typical again when they beat Meppen (1:0) despite being clearly inferior for long periods of the game. They were especially vulnerable in the defense, and this will not be easier today since their most important central back Trapp will be out injured. It's also interesting to have a look on Osnabrück's odds in their latest away games: They were +0.25 underdog in Braunschweig and +0.5 at Türkgücü München. Kaiserslautern are better than both of these teams and out of a sudden they are favourites? Seems strange.

Kaiserslautern are slightly superior to Osnabrück in terms of individual quality, however they have been playing a really bad season so far. Reasons are a mixture of playing bad and being unlucky, however the latest two games could have marked some turning point. The 0:0 in the derby against strong Mannheim was a major success because two players were sent off in the first half. And last week, they displayed their best season game when winning richly deserved against Verl (2:0). Today more than 15.000 fans will be in the stadium, which will be another huge motivation boost.



Among these circumstances, Kaiserslautern should be slight favourites at home, not the other way around.

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ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional
18:30 Aldosivi  -  Gimnasia L.P.
PICK: Gimnasia L.P.  0, +0.5
ODD:2,10

RESULT:1:3 WIN


INFO FROM SOUTH AMERICA

Aldosivi llega muy mal, los días pasan y Gago parece no encontrarle la vuelta al equipo.

Luego del apedreo post partido vs Godoy Cruz, el Tiburón mostró algunos destellos vs Velez, pero no alcanzaron.

Por otro lado el Lobo viene de obtener su primer victoria (ya era hora) bajo la tutela de Gorosito. Le tengo fe a Nestor ya que es un técnico bastante experimentado, que poco a poco suele encontrarle la vuelta a las cosas (y es mucho mas entrenador que Gago). Creo que Gimnasia esta mas armado como equipo y dentro de lo esperable mucho mas sólido que Aldosivi en defensa.



No se si alguien lee esto, pero le di reset al blog (otra vez) porque de nuevo sentía que estaba actuando de impulsivo y cometiendo los mismos errores tontos de antes y de algún modo estaba arruinando el record de los picks que si me importan. Si alguién sigue mis picks les recomiendo que le hagan mas caso a los de la liga Argentina, que trato de subirlos bien argumentados. Si subo lives u otro tipo de picks traten de evitarlos. Saludos

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AUSTRIA: Regionalliga Central
19:00 Weindorf St. Anna  -  Treiibch
PICK: Weindorf St. Anna -1.0, -1.5 (Asian Handicap)
ODD:2,00

RESULT:2:2 LOSE


INFO:

USV St. Anna am Aigen have improved significantly over the past few weeks and have now been unbeaten for seven games. The 4-0 win against Kalsdorf last weekend was extremely strong. The Treibacher, on the other hand lost 1-6 against the WAC amateurs. St. Anna is the clear favorite due to the performance shown in the last few weeks, a Treibacher away win would be very surprising. St. Anna will extend the series and Treibach will concede the fifth away loss in the fifth game. Unfortunately quick change in asia from -0.75 to -1.25, so we take this with smaller stake.

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GERMANY: Bundesliga
15:30 Leverkusen - Mainz
PICK: over 1,5 goals in second half
ODD:1,90

RESULT:(0:0)1:0 LOSE


INFO:

I must take this bet. It seems like gift. Leverkusen is better than Mainz. They are in strong strike. I think that second half will be more opened for home team.